Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027260 0.029885 0.032484 0.035246 0.038092 0.040935 0.043983
2025-01-05 0.021786 0.025984 0.030261 0.034920 0.039825 0.044817 0.050261
2025-01-12 0.017782 0.022962 0.028378 0.034398 0.040845 0.047496 0.054834
2025-01-19 0.014072 0.019833 0.026024 0.033042 0.040674 0.048642 0.057520
2025-01-26 0.012503 0.018871 0.025855 0.033884 0.042705 0.051986 0.062391
2025-02-02 0.010711 0.017485 0.025083 0.033943 0.043778 0.054203 0.065958
2025-02-09 0.008640 0.015594 0.023612 0.033117 0.043787 0.055186 0.068116
2025-02-16 0.007439 0.014647 0.023148 0.033355 0.044908 0.057321 0.071461
2025-02-23 0.006210 0.013556 0.022444 0.033260 0.045607 0.058949 0.074211
2025-03-02 0.005027 0.012412 0.021609 0.032960 0.046030 0.060234 0.076546
2025-03-09 0.004061 0.011460 0.020949 0.032820 0.046596 0.061642 0.078984
2025-03-16 0.002959 0.010176 0.019811 0.032068 0.046426 0.062201 0.080458
2025-03-23 0.002093 0.009211 0.019149 0.032008 0.047210 0.064005 0.083516
2025-03-30 0.001239 0.008087 0.018253 0.031677 0.047715 0.065544 0.086344
2025-04-06 0.000545 0.006949 0.017253 0.031172 0.047983 0.066792 0.088826
2025-04-13 0.000027 0.005483 0.015668 0.029865 0.047259 0.066876 0.089977
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005224 0.015783 0.030676 0.049017 0.069758 0.094226
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004618 0.015330 0.030733 0.049853 0.071569 0.097257
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003671 0.014254 0.029938 0.049638 0.072150 0.098882
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003254 0.013979 0.030167 0.050635 0.074106 0.102036
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002742 0.013484 0.030076 0.051226 0.075577 0.104626
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002201 0.012863 0.029787 0.051555 0.076729 0.106839
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001769 0.012374 0.029652 0.052056 0.078064 0.109244